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October 2, 2024 By admin

1 October 2024 (BTC, ORDI)

BITCOIN

As can be seen above, Bitcoin has started to decline greatly; therefore, it now make perfect sense to exit my original ORDI trade as the price action has returned back to my initial entry level, only this time with a declining bias:

ORDI

Learning Points

  1. Ideally, I should have switched my trading position to go short when Bitcoin’s lagging span on the 4 hour timeframe looked ready to break the diagonal trendline. I was, however, behind schedule in the respect that I needed to complete my weekly planning before being able to focus, fully, on any possible trading opportunities. And, I wrongly believed that there would be a false breakdown that would see the price start to rally again. So the moral of the story: always, always, always listen to the price action. Get rid of any pre-conceived notions or ideas about what the price action is going to actually do. Rather, when in a trade, forever be prepared to switch position instantly when necessary.
  2. My reading of the charts is becoming more and more accurate over time: in this particular trade, I was able to see correctly that if the price action closed below the Kumo Cloud on the 1 hour timeframe with a typical “falling of a cliff” pattern (when the price action has had a steady and controlled price rise, then starts to decline) then it was advisable to close the relevant short positions.
  3. During this trade, I further practiced adding additional capital to the trade, and removing it without hesitation, as soon as the market confirmed that the initial entry position was wrong.

Next Action

  1. Update new trading spreadsheet with break-even ORDI trade as soon as possible.
  2. Continue to monitor the price action of BTC and ORDI everyday.
  3. Forever be prepared to switch trading position when in an active trade.
  4. Continue to monitor your psychological state closely to get rid of any pre-conceived ideas about which way the market should move (trade what the market shows you).

Filed Under: Journals, Trading Journal

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